The 2026 UK Coffee Report

A Barista Wearing A Brown Shirt, Pouring Milk Into A Cappuccino Mug, Standing Beside A Coffee Machine In A Cafe

For many people in the UK, grabbing a coffee is a staple of the weekly routine, but the choices behind where they go are far from random. 

Our recent survey of 1,000 UK consumers found that 41% of Brits prefer independent coffee shops, compared with 23% who favour national chains. This points to a market shaped by two competing mindsets: one driven by routine and convenience, and another by experience and discovery. However, this preference does not always match what is actually available on the high street.

To understand how this divide plays out in practice across the UK, the team at Capital on Tap analysed coffee shop distribution across the UK’s 30 largest cities. The study compared the number of independent coffee shops with major chains, including Costa, Starbucks, Pret A Manger, and Caffè Nero in each city, mapping where each model dominates in relation to population size. The research also explores what drives these preferences in more detail, from convenience and cost to community and experience. Expert commentary from Hugh Acland, Chief Commercial Officer at Capital on Tap, rounds off the findings, highlighting what the insights mean for SMEs looking to grow, compete, and better position themselves within local markets.

The UK cities with the highest concentration of independent coffee shops 

To uncover the cities with the highest concentration of independent coffee shops, we analysed both the number of independent coffee shops per 100,000 residents and the proportion of all coffee shops that are independently run. Independent share was used as the primary ranking metric.

Rank

City

Number of independent coffee shops per 100,000 residents

% of coffee shops that are independent

1

Brighton

57.7

73.9%

2

Norwich

35.8

73.3%

3

Swansea

28.7

73.2%

4

Exeter

35.2

72.3%

5

Sheffield

28.7

72.2%

6

Edinburgh

56.6

71.8%

7

Glasgow

41.2

69.7%

8

Bradford

20.1

68.6%

9

Portsmouth

27.3

66.3%

10

Aberdeen

24.6

66.2%

Brighton leads as the UK city with the strongest independent coffee shop scene.  With 57.7 per 100,000 people, nearly three quarters of all coffee shops in the city (73.9%) are independently owned, forming a dense network of small, owner-operated venues that clearly outnumber national chains. This strength is also reflected in consumer behaviour, with 44% of people in Brighton & Hove saying they prefer independent coffee shops compared with 19% who favour chains.

Norwich follows closely behind, with 35.8 independent coffee shops per 100,000 people, and 73.3% of all coffee shops in the city unaccounted for by major chains.

Swansea rounds out the top three at 28.7  per 100,000 people, with 73.2% of coffee shops independently run. Like Brighton and Norwich, the coffee shop landscape is heavily weighted towards independents, with local operators making up the vast majority of coffee outlets across the city.

The UK cities with the highest concentration of chain coffee shops

To uncover the cities with the highest concentration of chain coffee shops, we analysed the number of chain coffee shops per 100,000 residents alongside the proportion of total coffee shops accounted for by major operators, including Costa, Starbucks, Pret A Manger, and Caffè Nero. Chain share was used as the primary ranking metric.

Rank

City

Number of chain coffee shops per 100,000 residents

% of coffee shops that are chains

1

Milton Keynes

15.21

52.5%

2

Reading

18.27

50.6%

3

Cambridge

24.73

50.0%

4

Cardiff

22.55

39.7%

5

Nottingham

20.19

38.3%

6

Southampton

11.15

38.2%

7

London

20.86

37.9%

8

Oxford

19.43

37.8%

9

Leeds

17.89

37.4%

10

Birmingham

10.07

37.0%

At the top of the ranking, Milton Keynes stands out as the UK’s most chain-dominated coffee city, with chains accounting for 52.5% of all coffee shops (15.21 chain coffee shops per 100,000 residents).

Reading follows closely, with chains making up just over half of the market (50.6%). Its commuter-heavy profile may help explain this dominance, with high levels of transient footfall favouring familiar, grab-and-go coffee options over more destination-led independent coffee shops.

Cambridge ranks third, with chains representing exactly half of all coffee shops in the city and 24.73 chain coffee shops per 100,000 residents.

Interestingly, in several cities where chains hold relatively strong market share, consumers still express a clear preference for independent coffee shops. For example, despite Cambridge ranking as the third most chain-dominated coffee city in the UK, only 19% of residents say they prefer chains. Similarly, in Birmingham, 53% of respondents say they prefer independents compared with 21% who favour chains.

Hugh Acland, Chief Commercial Officer at Capital on Tap says: “This imbalance highlights an opportunity for SMEs. While consumer sentiment often favours independent coffee shops, market presence doesn’t always reflect that demand. For small businesses, the opportunity lies in understanding where that gap exists and positioning themselves in the right locations, at the right scale, with the right financial support to compete effectively.”

How SMEs can compete in the UK coffee market 

The reasons consumers choose coffee shops highlight a clear split in motivation: independents are chosen for what they represent, while chains are chosen for what they reliably deliver. Independents are driven by values and experience, with 38% of consumers choosing to get their coffee from them to support local businesses. Quality (18%) and atmosphere (13%) also play a key role, reinforcing that these choices are intentional rather than habitual.

Chains, by contrast, are more functional. Better quality coffee (34%), value for money (18%), and habit or familiarity (18%) are the main drivers for people choosing chain stores, alongside reliability (13%). 

Hugh explains how this creates a clear opportunity for SMEs: “Consumer preference for independent coffee shops is clear, but demand alone does not guarantee footfall. Outcomes vary significantly by city, with some markets offering stronger conditions for independent operators than others.

“For coffee shop owners, understanding local dynamics is critical. Cities like Birmingham present a clear opportunity where demand for independents exceeds supply, while established hubs like Brighton or Edinburgh require stronger differentiation.

“Success ultimately comes down to getting the fundamentals right, location, timing, and financial resilience, and ensuring the right funding is in place to support growth. This can include access to flexible financial tools such as a business credit card, which can help manage cash flow, cover upfront costs, and support day-to-day operational expenses during periods of growth.

“However, value for money is a shared expectation across both segments, meaning independents must ensure strong perceived value through product quality, bundling, and loyalty schemes rather than competing on price alone.

“While chains benefit from habit and familiarity, independents can build similar loyalty over time through consistency, signature products, and simple retention tools that encourage repeat visits and long-term customer behaviour.”

Methodology and sources

To identify the UK cities with the strongest independent and chain coffee shop presence, we analysed coffee shop data across major UK cities, comparing the number of independent coffee shops and chain outlets on both an absolute and per capita basis. The final rankings were determined using percentage share as the primary indexing metric.

Cities were segmented by size and geography to ensure comparability. Coffee shop data was sourced from Google Maps. Consumer survey data was collected from a nationally representative sample of UK adults.

Data is correct as of May 2026.

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